Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.047680 0.055650 0.064524 0.075135 0.087481 0.101392 0.118262
2025-10-19 0.034996 0.045285 0.057948 0.074676 0.096199 0.122971 0.158836
2025-10-26 0.028104 0.039362 0.054323 0.075653 0.105294 0.145060 0.202541
2025-11-02 0.023895 0.035717 0.052450 0.077849 0.115445 0.169106 0.251663
2025-11-09 0.019574 0.030955 0.047969 0.075231 0.117854 0.182031 0.286234
2025-11-16 0.016821 0.027973 0.045473 0.074904 0.123210 0.199490 0.329424
2025-11-23 0.014563 0.025352 0.043053 0.074158 0.127527 0.215531 0.372115
2025-11-30 0.013110 0.023809 0.042093 0.075555 0.135358 0.237982 0.428063
2025-12-07 0.011542 0.021809 0.040038 0.074693 0.139043 0.253665 0.474098
2025-12-14 0.010054 0.019721 0.037518 0.072588 0.140098 0.264657 0.512838
2025-12-21 0.008804 0.017895 0.035214 0.070525 0.140864 0.275042 0.551518
2025-12-28 0.008146 0.017125 0.034796 0.072007 0.148571 0.299307 0.619935
2026-01-04 0.007431 0.016159 0.033902 0.072492 0.154509 0.321161 0.687093
2026-01-11 0.006774 0.015221 0.032947 0.072732 0.159997 0.342835 0.756910
2026-01-18 0.006269 0.014540 0.032432 0.073824 0.167410 0.369366 0.840539
2026-01-25 0.005905 0.014118 0.032415 0.075995 0.177448 0.402681 0.943397
2026-02-01 0.005232 0.012887 0.030437 0.073446 0.176461 0.411589 0.992030
2026-02-08 0.004790 0.012144 0.029474 0.073127 0.180596 0.432525 1.071383
2026-02-15 0.004372 0.011397 0.028404 0.072400 0.183640 0.451254 1.147828
2026-02-22 0.004118 0.011028 0.028195 0.073763 0.191984 0.483585 1.261937
2026-03-01 0.003769 0.010364 0.027171 0.072922 0.194647 0.502330 1.344099
2026-03-08 0.003397 0.009586 0.025753 0.070866 0.193893 0.512400 1.405047
2026-03-15 0.003066 0.008873 0.024418 0.068852 0.192984 0.521951 1.465871